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Measuring change

Why a baseline matters before measuring progress

Launch library · evergreen read

Photo: Families Belong Together - San Rafael Rally - Photo - 15 (28073403567) by Fabrice Florin from Mill Valley, USA (CC BY-SA 2.0), via Openverse

A baseline is a measurement taken before a campaign begins, and without one, later measurements have nothing reliable to be compared against, making it genuinely difficult to say with confidence how much, if anything, has actually changed as a result of the effort. Without that starting point, even a genuinely impressive later figure proves very little on its own.

Establishing a baseline takes some upfront effort that can feel like a delay when a campaign is eager to start acting, but skipping it usually means losing the ability to demonstrate impact convincingly once the campaign is further along and results start to matter to funders and supporters alike.

A good baseline captures not just the headline figure a campaign cares most about but enough surrounding context to make later comparison meaningful, since conditions can shift for reasons entirely unrelated to the campaign's own efforts, muddying any later comparison drawn without that wider context in hand.

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